Solana: Analyst Coverage and Technical Reads

MoonWire's published Solana coverage — analyst commentary, technical reads and the market context around them, dated and importance-scored.

27 published analyses · all topics

• Sep 11, 2026Prognosis daily - 29 Aug: one fresh Solana lean, the rest of the book left running

  The engine convicts on three majors this run; two of them already have a live call, so the only new row is a seven-day upward lean on Solana. Two Ethereum calls resolved correct, and the skill headline is still short of the sample it needs.

• Sep 11, 2026SOL separates from BTC and ETH: a trending-down regime print with open interest still building

  Our per-symbol regime read has SOL leaving the ranging classification the other two majors are still in, with a -3.1341% 24h net change against -1.33% on BTC and -0.7125% on ETH. The derivatives snapshot is the part worth noting: open interest rose 1.6123% across the same window while funding sat mildly negative at -0.4489 bps.

• Sep 11, 2026Solana: the 3D floor retreated to a nine-touch level 27% below price as the weekly ceiling closed to 9.44%

  On a 1.39% price move, Solana's 3D support ledger lost three of its four entries and re-resolved to 73.73 - a level carrying nine touches, the most-tested anywhere on our nine-cell board - now 27.04% below price. In the other direction, 110.60 propagated from the 3D scan onto the weekly, collapsing the weekly band from 4.79 times one ATR to 1.54. Weekly trend strength eased from strong to moderate on a falling efficiency ratio rather than on any change in where price sits relative to its average.

• Sep 11, 2026Solana: a new 3D pivot at 110.60 has filled part of the 45% stretch that was empty a week ago

  The stretch above Solana that had no listed pivot at all up to 147.825 a week ago is no longer empty: a new 3D resistance at 110.60 now sits 10.97% above price at 99.67. The 3D floor ledger also re-resolved, swapping a 4-touch level at 74.955 for a 6-touch level at 72.98, while the weekly ledger did not change at all. Both faster trends still read up with strong strength; the monthly stepped down from strong to moderate, with its EMA falling 10.82% against a 2.00% decline in price. Across all three majors this week, RSI fell in every one of the nine cells scanned.

• Sep 11, 2026The Monthly Close Was the Bullish Part. The Rest Came With Conditions.

  Bitcoin's August monthly close was read as a regime marker by the voices we track — and the same voices spent the day attaching conditions to it: an untested band of supply overhead, a seasonal pattern, and a self-disclosed short. The bitcoin reads all came with conditions; the read that did not was about Curve, and the exchanges spent it importing the rest of the market: U.S. stock options, a Brazilian real pair, Brent crude.

• Sep 11, 2026The Bitcoin Calls Named a Season. The Bitcoin Data Asked a Question.

  Bitcoin's bull case in the window was stated as timing — new highs by Christmas, a one-line retort to a doubted level — while the two feeds carrying measured positioning left their own reading explicitly unresolved, funding in the 84th percentile against one-month implied volatility in the 16th. The breakouts being described as already done belonged to Ethereum, Solana and Hyperliquid.

• Aug 29, 2026Ansem Calls It a Megatrend: Crypto Apps That Pay Retail to Trade

  On 25 August Ansem argued that the durable thing in crypto is not an asset but a distribution model: on-chain apps that hand cash back to the people using them, funded by token airdrops and fee-sharing, with the retail user as the customer-acquisition budget. He called it a megatrend and compared the position to being an early Facebook user in 2008. Two other analysts we track spent the same day at the other end of that machine, one describing social-trading apps as purposefully engineered to make users act on emotion, the other on detaching from the number on the screen.

• Aug 29, 2026Solana: four resistances left the 3D ledger at once - nothing is listed now until 147.825

  Solana's 3D pivot scan shed four resistances in a week, including the 5-touch 92.322, and now lists no level at all between price at 101.70 and 147.825, which sits 45.35% above. Its 3D efficiency ratio jumped to 0.8357, the highest single reading in this week's nine-cell board, while the monthly frame remains 31.62% beneath its own SMA20.

• Aug 29, 2026Solana: the 76.165 shelf that anchored both the 3D and weekly ledgers has left them

  The support shelf at 76.165 that both Solana's 3D and weekly pivot scans flagged a week ago is off both ledgers entirely; the nearest supports are now 2.60% and 8.37% below price. The weekly efficiency ratio fell 54.0% to 0.1552, the largest such decline on our board, dropping weekly trend strength from moderate to weak - the only trend-strength change among the nine cells.

• Aug 29, 2026Bitcoin and Ether ETFs Bled Last Week. Solana's and XRP's Took Money In.

  The money that left bitcoin and ether ETFs last week did not leave crypto: Solana's and XRP's spot products took money in, and disclosed corporate buying ran the other way entirely. Glassnode framed the wider move as capital leaving cash for equities, AI and commodities with bitcoin neglected - the flow table shows that neglect was selective, and named buyers took the other side.

• Aug 16, 2026Solana: the two 20-period averages converge to 0.0003 apart while price closes 0.02% above its support shelf

  Solana's 3D 20-period SMA (74.8445) and EMA (74.84423) have converged to 0.00027 of each other - about 0.0004% of the level, where the next-tightest pairing in our nine-cell coverage is Bitcoin's 3D at 1.14%. Price at 76.18 sits 1.78% above both and just 0.0197% above the 76.165 shelf that is now the nearest support on the 3D and the weekly alike. The monthly stays down and strong with the set's highest efficiency ratio at 0.9437.

• Aug 8, 2026Solana separates from the majors: three directional days on expanding open interest, with funding still flat

  SOL has moved +4.25% over the read window while the two larger majors stayed range-bound, and it did so with open interest expanding 6.33% over 24 hours. The notable feature is what has NOT happened alongside it: perpetual funding sits at 1.0 basis point and the perp trades at a slight discount to index, so the advance has not yet been accompanied by the crowded one-sided positioning that usually rides one.

• Aug 5, 2026Solana: the 3D trend flips up because the moving average fell to price, not because price rallied

  Solana's 3D trend turned up and its efficiency ratio jumped from 0.08 to 0.47, the highest 3D reading of the three assets - but price only rose 0.52% to 73.76 while the 3D 20-period EMA fell 3.51% to 73.03. Price is now wedged above the EMA and below the SMA, with weekly RSI at 38.57, the lowest of the three.

• Jul 29, 2026Solana rejoins the downtrend: monthly efficiency ratio hits its 1.00 ceiling while the 3D collapses to 0.08

  Solana at 73.38 has flipped back to aligned_down as its 3D trend turned over, and our compute now shows the widest internal split in our coverage: the monthly efficiency ratio has reached 1.00, the maximum the metric can register, while the 3D efficiency ratio collapsed from 0.21 to 0.08. The same asset reads perfectly directional on the monthly horizon and almost purely choppy on the near-term one.

• Jul 29, 2026Source Spotlight - Ansem, Week of July 21: Seven Days on Solana's App Layer, and Not One Mention of the Closures

  While the week's headlines were exchange closures and licences, one of the analyst feeds we track posed the venue question from the distribution end - wondering aloud whether X will add trading now that it has payments, and treating Coinbase as a listings-and-hiring story rather than a solvency one. A descriptive profile of what the feed covered over seven days: Solana's application layer, a repeated cycle-timing call, a token carrying its author's handle - and not one mention of the closures that led the week.

• Jul 21, 2026Solana: the widest near-term range in the set meets the most directional monthly downtrend, as the 3D ticks up

  Solana carries the widest near-term range of the three: the 3D ATR of about 6.0 is 7.7% of the 77.95 price. It also shows the most directional higher-timeframe reading anywhere in our set - a monthly efficiency ratio of 0.94, a near-straight-line move that points down. Meanwhile the 3D trend has just ticked up (a conflicting alignment), lifting price above its 3D averages into a band between 76.17 support and 83.98 resistance.

• Jul 13, 2026Solana: the near-term split closes as all three timeframes turn down, with a monthly efficiency ratio of 0.98

  Solana's 3D trend has rolled back over to down, closing the cross-timeframe split our compute showed a week ago - the read is now aligned_down on 3D, 1W and 1M. The monthly efficiency ratio is 0.98, effectively a straight-line move and the most directional reading anywhere in our set, with price 41% below the monthly 20-EMA at 126.60.

• Jul 7, 2026Solana: the near-term chart turns up while the monthly stays firmly down — a split read

  Solana is the one asset in our set that no longer reads aligned-down: its 3D and weekly trends have turned up while the monthly remains strongly down, leaving the multi-timeframe read conflicting. Price near 81.61 sits above its 3D average but under a 3D resistance at 93.96 that has been tested seven times.

• Jul 5, 2026Market Pulse — July 5: Bitcoin's Stress Gauges Quietly Reset Toward a Bottom as the ETF Streak Ran to a Record Eighth Week

  On a holiday-thin tape, the fresh signal wasn't price — it was posture: Bitcoin's realized-loss ratio sank to a 43-month low historically tied to bottoms, and the same options desk that read defensive a day earlier now prices low volatility and returning optimism — even as US spot ETFs booked a record eighth straight week of outflows. The read is exhaustion, not direction: the stress stopped deepening before the tape confirmed anything, with fresh conviction, where it showed, pointing at Solana as a holders' market.

• Jul 3, 2026Market Pulse - July 3: Bitcoin Took the Headlines, Solana and the Alts Took the Lead

  The day's twin headlines were Bitcoin's - it held $61,000 after a soft U.S. jobs report and its spot ETFs snapped a ten-day outflow streak - but the fresh conviction rotated off Bitcoin: Solana led on record quarterly activity, the alt complex built base structures, and HYPE pushed above prior highs. The read across the voices we track was bullish, yet it was a rotation, not a broad bid - with the sharpest caution coming from those pointing at a still-below-trend chart and defensive options positioning.

• Jul 2, 2026Market Pulse — July 2: The Floor the Chain Called Is Finally Getting a Second Opinion From the Tape

  After a month in which Bitcoin's ETF wrapper drained while on-chain holders quietly absorbed supply, the tone among the voices we track flipped bullish: Bitcoin rebounded toward $60–61k, Ethereum's ETFs snapped a nine-day outflow streak, and Solana crossed $80. The doubt didn't disappear — it migrated from price to plumbing, with the loudest caution now coming from balance-sheet and cycle watchers even as the ETF wrapper kept bleeding.

• Jun 30, 2026Solana Deep-Dive — Adoption Outran the Chart as Tokenized Stocks Set Records

  Solana stayed the only major asset carrying a bullish tone among the voices we track this week, and the week showed why: the conviction is about what is being built on Solana, not the SOL token itself. Tokenized-stock volume set a daily record and new dollar rails launched even as the SOL/ETH chart held its downtrend.

• Jun 29, 2026Solana: the near-term chart turns choppy and neutral even as the monthly downtrend stays strong

  Solana's 3D chart has gone choppy — a 0.15 efficiency ratio (the lowest in the set), neutral momentum with RSI at 45, and only weak trend strength — even as the monthly trend reads down and strong. Price at 74.28 sits between 3D resistance at 76.09 and 1W support at 67.50, with all three timeframes still pointing down.

• Jun 26, 2026Market Pulse — June 26: The Tape Stayed Defensive, and the Only Offense on the Board Was Solana

  With the majors leaning defensive and Bitcoin dominating a risk-off conversation, the one place the curated desk turned offensive was Solana — yet that bid is split, with bottom-is-in calls running straight into SOL's own ETF outflows and a still-bearish SOL/ETH chart.

• Jun 23, 2026Week in Review — June 16-23: The Fed Took Cuts Off the Table, and Crypto Changed the Subject

  The week's defining move was monetary, not crypto-native: the Fed signaled no 2026 rate cuts and Bitcoin slid under $64,000 — yet the loudest, most bullish threads the desk tracked weren't about price. They were structural: a CBDC ban headed for law, new stablecoin rulebooks, and tokenization crossing $51 billion — while attention quietly rotated off Bitcoin and toward Solana.

• Jun 22, 2026Solana: a near-complete unwind of the monthly range leaves price testing 67.5

  MoonWire's compute shows Solana aligned to the downside across all three timeframes, with a monthly efficiency ratio near 0.89 marking one of the most directional declines in the set. Price near 71.9 sits just above the 67.5 support our scan flags.

• Jun 22, 2026Market Pulse — June 18-22: Capital Climbed the Quality Ladder While DeFi Took a Beating

  Money climbed the quality ladder even as it fled the bottom rung: large-cap treasuries (Strategy, El Salvador, BitMine) kept accumulating and payments names backed Solana, while DeFi turned defensive under a cluster of bridge and MEV exploits and a stablecoin-vault wind-down — all as Bitcoin's own ETF flows and mining economics quietly weakened beneath a bullish desk tone.